{
 "test": "3Dogs fresh-facts test",
 "date": "2026-10-30",
 "run_id": "pg-2026-10-30-103838",
 "method": "Five facts published 20-30 Oct 2026, each confirmed by two independent checkers (different AI makers, different source sites); one figure in each changed; briefing audited by a solo AI without internet access and by 3Dogs AUDIT.",
 "pass_rule": "3Dogs catches >=4 of 5 and the solo AI catches <=2 of 5",
 "briefing": "In the latest economic data, Google Cloud revenue rose 74% from a year earlier, while Obamacare insurers requested a median 13% increase for 2027 premiums. Separately, from June to August 2026, the UK unemployment rate was 5.2%, and the UK government announced a 3.3% rise in the minimum wage, effective from April 2027. Meanwhile, in Asia, Singapore’s producer price inflation surged to 57.0% year-on-year in September 2026. These figures highlight divergent trends across tech, healthcare, labour markets, and industrial costs, reflecting both strong demand in cloud services and significant inflationary pressures in certain sectors. The mixed data points indicate a complex global economic landscape as different regions and industries adjust to evolving conditions.",
 "answer_key": [
  {
   "planted": "74%",
   "correct": "103%",
   "kind": "percent",
   "source_date": "2026-10-30",
   "evidence": [
    {
     "url": "https://www.securities.io/alphabet-q3-revenue-rises-25-as-google-cloud-revenue-jumps-103/",
     "date": "2026-10-28",
     "excerpt": "Google Cloud revenue rose 103% from a year earlier, according to Alphabet's Q3 2026 earnings release dated October 28, 2026"
    },
    {
     "url": "https://cio.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/cloud-computing/alphabet-revenue-jumps-25-to-usd-127-6-billion-as-google-cloud-growth-doubles/135292225",
     "date": "2026-10-29",
     "excerpt": "Google Cloud was the standout performer, with revenue more than doubling to USD 30.7 billion, up 103 per cent from a year earlier."
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "planted": "13%",
   "correct": "15%",
   "kind": "percent",
   "source_date": "2026-10-30",
   "evidence": [
    {
     "url": "https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/obamacare-insurers-want-median-15-100000369.html",
     "date": "2026-10-30",
     "excerpt": "As of October 30, 2026, Obamacare insurers requested a median **15%** increase for 2027 premiums."
    },
    {
     "url": "https://www.healthsystemtracker.org/brief/how-much-and-why-aca-marketplace-premiums-are-going-up-in-2027/",
     "date": "2026-10-30",
     "excerpt": "The median increase requested by Obamacare insurers for 2027 premiums is **15%**."
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "planted": "5.2%",
   "correct": "4.7%",
   "kind": "percent",
   "source_date": "2026-10-29",
   "evidence": [
    {
     "url": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/unemployment/",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "excerpt": "The UK unemployment rate for the period June to August 2026 was 4.7%."
    },
    {
     "url": "https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/human-resources/unemployment-rate-dips-to-4-7-while-earnings-growth-rises-to-3-7-one-week-before-the-budget/ar-AA2fCIQV",
     "date": "2026-10-20",
     "excerpt": "The UK unemployment rate for June to August 2026 was 4.7%."
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "planted": "3.3%",
   "correct": "3.9%",
   "kind": "percent",
   "source_date": "2026-10-28",
   "evidence": [
    {
     "url": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/minimum-wage-rates-for-2027",
     "date": "2026-10-28",
     "excerpt": "The UK government announced a **3.9%** rise in the minimum wage, effective from April 2027."
    },
    {
     "url": "https://www.independent.co.uk/bulletin/news/budget-2026-minimum-wage-living-uk-rise-b3074961.html",
     "date": "2026-10-28",
     "excerpt": "The UK government announced a **3.9%** rise in the minimum wage, effective from April 2027."
    }
   ]
  },
  {
   "planted": "57.0%",
   "correct": "47.5%",
   "kind": "percent",
   "source_date": "2026-10-16",
   "evidence": [
    {
     "url": "https://www.rttnews.com/3704998/singapore-producer-price-inflation-jumps-to-47-5.aspx",
     "date": "2026-10-29",
     "excerpt": "As of October 30, 2026, Singapore’s producer price inflation surged to 47.5% year-on-year in September 2026."
    },
    {
     "url": "https://sbr.com.sg/manufacturing/news/factory-gate-prices-surge-475-in-september",
     "date": "2026-10-28",
     "excerpt": "Singapore’s producer price inflation surged to **47.5%** year-on-year in September 2026, according to the Department of Statistics."
    }
   ]
  }
 ],
 "result": {
  "solo_caught": 0,
  "threedogs_caught": 5,
  "per_error": [
   {
    "id": "65745db041",
    "solo": false,
    "threedogs": true
   },
   {
    "id": "63177fc75b",
    "solo": false,
    "threedogs": true
   },
   {
    "id": "3d37e4eec4",
    "solo": false,
    "threedogs": true
   },
   {
    "id": "b757d18e26",
    "solo": false,
    "threedogs": true
   },
   {
    "id": "3212d3f11f",
    "solo": false,
    "threedogs": true
   }
  ]
 },
 "accepted_attempt": {
  "solo_ai_reply": "**I cannot provide any corrected figures.**\n\nAll numerical claims in the briefing refer to events in 2026 and 2027 (Google Cloud growth, Obamacare 2027 premium requests, UK unemployment June–August 2026, UK minimum wage change effective April 2027, and Singapore PPI in September 2026). My knowledge ends in 2023. I have no data on any of these future periods and am therefore unable to determine which specific figures are wrong or what the correct values should be.\n\nPer the explicit constraints given (“You have no internet access and must not guess beyond what you know”), I will not speculate, extrapolate, or invent any “corrected” numbers. No list of erroneous figures with replacement values can be supplied without violating those rules.",
  "threedogs_audit": "3Dogs audit (3 independent auditors from different AI makers)\n\n**COMBINED AUDIT**\n\n**VERDICT:** **UNSOUND** – All cited figures in the draft answer are incorrect per dated sources.\n\n**ERRORS** (all supported by [W#] blocks; 3 of 3 auditors agree):\n- \"Google Cloud revenue rose **74%**\" → Correct figure: **103%** [W2].\n- \"Obamacare insurers requested a median **13%** increase\" → Correct figure: **15%** [W2].\n- \"UK unemployment rate was **5.2%**\" → Correct figure: **4.7%** [W1].\n- \"UK government announced a **3.3%** rise in the minimum wage\" → Correct figure: **3.9%** [W1].\n- \"Singapore’s producer price inflation surged to **57.0%**\" → Correct figure: **47.5%** [W3].\n\n**UNSUPPORTED:** None.\n\n**MISSING:**\n- Release dates for all figures (e.g., ONS Oct 20, 2026; Chancellor’s Oct 28, 2026 announcement; Singapore data Oct 29, 2026; Peterson KFF Oct 30, 2026) (3 of 3 raise this).\n- The UK minimum wage increase applies to all age groups (minor clarification, 1 of 3)."
 },
 "discarded_attempt": {
  "note": "Earlier attempt on different facts; did not meet the pass rule and was discarded automatically. Per-attempt scores were not recorded for it; raw outputs below.",
  "solo_ai_reply": "**I cannot provide corrected figures.**\n\nThe briefing is set entirely in 2026 (September 2026 PCE, Q3 fiscal 2026 capital spending, June–August 2026 UK unemployment, Q2 2026 consumption, and a 2027-08-28 tariff date). My knowledge ends well before 2026, so none of these events have occurred. I have no basis for knowing what the actual recent (2024 or 2025) figures are, and the instruction explicitly prohibits guessing beyond what I know.\n\nTherefore I cannot list “each figure that is wrong and give the correct figure” without violating the “do not guess” rule. All numerical claims in the text refer to future periods that do not yet exist in reality.",
  "threedogs_audit": "3Dogs audit (3 independent auditors from different AI makers)\n\n### **Combined Audit of Draft Briefing**\n\n#### **1. VERDICT: SOUND WITH FIXES**\nThe draft contains multiple inaccuracies, misrepresentations, and unsupported claims, all correctable with current sources.\n\n---\n\n#### **2. ERRORS** *(Corrections cited in [W#] or  blocks)*\n- **\"September PCE inflation rose 4.5% year-over-year\"**\n  → **Correct: 3.6%** ([W4], cited by **3 of 3 auditors**).\n\n- **\"Capital spending in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 jumped 101% from a year earlier\"**\n  → **Misrepresented scope**. [W3] confirms 101% growth only for a **narrow subset** (e.g., AI-related equipment), not aggregate capital spending. Overall nonresidential fixed investment rose **12.7%**. Correction required to specify component ([W3], cited by **1 of 3 auditors**).\n\n- **\"USMCA tariffs modification being set as 2027-08-28\"**\n  → **Unsupported date**. [W1] confirms no scheduled effective date; sources describe a **review process beginning July 2026** and **tariff adjustments on Canadian goods effective October 30, 2026**, but no USMCA-wide modification ([W1], cited by **3 of 3 auditors**).\n\n- **\"From June to August 2026, the UK unemployment rate was 5.9%\"**\n  → **Correct: 4.7%** ([W2], cited by **3 of 3 auditors**).\n\n- **\"Household real consumption per capita increased by 0.6%\"**\n  → **Misattributed jurisdiction**. The figure applies to the **Czech Republic** ([W5], cited by **2 of 3 auditors**); draft implies a global metric.\n\n---\n\n#### **3. UNSUPPORTED** *(No direct source citation for these claims)*\n- **101% capital spending claim** (needs context that it refers to AI-related equipment, not aggregate spending; raised by **1 of 3 auditors**).\n- **October 30, 2026 tariff adjustments on Canadian goods**: Not mentioned in draft, though [W1] confirms their existence (**3 of 3 auditors** flagged the omission of this *current* development).\n- **Context for UK unemployment rate** (ONS quarterly measure; draft’s phrasing is technically correct but could mislead about timeframe; raised by **1 of 3 auditors**).\n\n---\n\n#### **4. MISSING**\n- **Real GDP growth in Q3 2026**: **3.4% annualized**, up from 2.2% in Q2 ([W3], raised by **1 of 3 auditors**).\n- **Inflation context**: PCE of **3.6%** is elevated but aligned with 2026 trends ([W4], raised by **1 of 3 auditors**).\n- **USMCA clarification**: No confirmed date for tariff modifications; only a review process ([W1], **all auditors**).\n- **Geographic scope**: Draft omits that the 0.6% consumption growth is **Czech-specific** ([W5], **2 of 3 auditors**)."
 },
 "manual_source_check": {
  "date": "2026-10-30",
  "note": "After the run, each true figure was read directly from at least one public source.",
  "checked": [
   {
    "figure": "Google Cloud +103% (Q3 2026)",
    "source": "https://www.securities.io/alphabet-q3-revenue-rises-25-as-google-cloud-revenue-jumps-103/",
    "published": "2026-10-28"
   },
   {
    "figure": "ACA median 2027 proposed increase 15%",
    "source": "https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/obamacare-insurers-want-median-15-100000369.html",
    "published": "2026-10-30",
    "underlying_analysis": "KFF Health System Tracker, updated 2026-08-03"
   },
   {
    "figure": "UK unemployment 4.7% (Jun-Aug 2026)",
    "source": "https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peoplenotinwork/unemployment/",
    "published": "2026-10-20"
   },
   {
    "figure": "UK National Living Wage +3.9% to GBP 13.21 from April 2027",
    "source": "https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/minimum-wage-rates-for-2027",
    "published": "2026-10-28"
   },
   {
    "figure": "Singapore manufacturing PPI +47.5% y/y (Sep 2026)",
    "source": "https://www.rttnews.com/3704998/singapore-producer-price-inflation-jumps-to-47-5.aspx",
    "published": "2026-10-29"
   }
  ]
 },
 "review_committee": {
  "decisions": [
   "#2146",
   "#2147",
   "#2148"
  ],
  "note": "Across two searches, our review committee's evidence clerk independently found sources for four of the five figures (UK unemployment, ACA, Singapore, UK National Living Wage). The Google Cloud figure was confirmed only by reading the linked sources (see manual_source_check). The clerk's very first search returned nothing because it queried for '3Dogs' and 'Grok' rather than the facts."
 }
}